Lowest rates in years! Refinance! OMG the buyer's market is finally here! Yes, for some. When you read about 30-year mortgage interest rates dropping, newspapers are reporting on conforming loans or loans $417,000 and under. SFGate is especially good at keeping this detail out of the headline. It's confusing to everyone. The reduction helps a lot of middle America or folks with adjustable rate mortgages, but for everyone else in large cities, it means very little. Why? Because unless you bought a house in the 80s then you are sitting pretty to refinance. But today a loan of $417,000 (and 20% down) will buy you about $500,000 worth of house or condo. (TICs are nonconforming and have not experienced a reduction in rate and in fact are almost 2% higher than conforming loan interest rates--they still give you more room for your buck however!)
So, what exactly does that buy you in San Francisco? I'm sorry to say very little. Literally. Square footage for the average $500,000 house is 1,137 and 675 for a condo. The discrepancy you see here is the fact that condos are in dense areas centrally located in the city while the houses in this price range are mainly in District 10 (i.e Bay View and Outer Mission). Check out current sales of Single Family Homes. Sadly, many of the homes for sale in district 10 are in foreclosure or short sales. I have a feeling there were a lot of 100% financing/adjustable rate mortgages sold out there. So, if you don't mind the challenges of a not-quite-gentrified-neighborhood or find the 3rd street light rail perfect for your commute (only 20 minutes into downtown), then 2008 is a great year to buy a house in district 10. Just be sure to save some money for renovations. A lot of money.
Condos on the other hand, in this price range, are even smaller. The average square footage for a $500,000 condo is 640. What they lack in size, they gain in location. These condos can be found all over the city and can be a great way of getting into the market. Check out a full list of current condo sales. You'll notice again, they are not all in the best condition. Keep your contractor glasses on and look for potential.
This sweet 2 bedroom at 1111 Potrero Ave needs a little help in the kitchen, but otherwise is quite charming. Okay, I just used the realtor term "charming" which means small, but I told you that already!
Now, if Congress passes the controversial Economic Stimulus Package, the conforming loan limit would be pushed up to $625,000 nationwide and $729,000 in larger cities such as San Francisco for one year. That's right only during 2008. With 20% down, a loan of $729,000 will buy you an $874,800 house at the lower conforming interest rate. Which is an altogether different situation for Condos. In the $725k to $825 range, square footage jumps up to 1139. While houses in that range see a little jump up to 1470 sqft.
If this package passes and you've been sitting on a pretty sum for a down payment waiting for the market to change I have a little secret for you....buy early before all the other buyers just like you take advantage of the situation and flood the market. We all know what happens when more than one buyer wants a house at a great interest rate.